价值中国网刚刚采访了美国著名的未来学家James Canton博士，他的新书《极端的未来》正在美国广受追捧。他曾担任过美国布什总统的未来发展顾问等重要职务，是继托夫勒和奈斯比特之后的未来学大师。我们将在近期发表独家的中英文采访......
他的新书令人感觉到很大的震慑——速度、复杂性、风险、变化、惊讶，是主要的未来特征。如何快速地整合资源、快速地进行创新，将成为未来的主要竞争形态......
该书的副标题是：即将改变的、未来5年、10年、20年的大趋势；该书的关键字是：快速改变的文化、商业、技术、药品、安全；恐怖主义、人口、环境......
未来的十大趋势
- Fueling the Future 未来的燃料- The energy crisis, the costs, the post-oil future, and the future of energy alternatives like hydrogen, hybrids, and biofuels will be an essential factor into every business decision. The critical role that energy will play in every aspect of our lives in the 21st century will shape business and society.
- The Innovation Economy 创新经济- The central driver of future commerce will be innovation industries. Investing today in fast moving patents, innovations, ideas, like the Four Power Tools of the future: nano-bio-neuro-info, and products will shape competitive advantage.
- Talent War 人才战争- Talented people are the key to business success. There will be more jobs than skilled people to fill them. Companies will compete for the growing shortage of skilled people. More incentives to keep and recruit the best people will emerge.
- Longevity Medicine 长寿药品- Health care is being transformed by biotech and genomics. People will be living longer, healthier and more productive lives. The human enhancement marketplace, offering new organs, new memories, new limbs, new skin and new lives, will translate into the largest market of the future梕ven immortality, for some, will be possible.
- Weird Science 奇异的科学- Always-On wireless Internet, teleportation, smart materials, space tourism梂eird new science will change every aspect of our lives, culture and economy, leading to new jobs, new products and new options. Nations and businesses that invest in future science will profit in economic growth.
- Securing the Future 未来的安全- A new risk landscape is emerging from war, to hackers, to terrorists, to mind control, which will pose new challenges for individuals, governments and business. The personal security market will be lucrative.
- The Future of Globalization 全球化的未来- The new realities of more open global trade will offer both risk and opportunity in the near future. The rise of China and India; the clash of different cultures and ideas. Free trade, open markets and improved quality of life will define the 21st century.
- The Future of Climate Change 未来的气候变化- The environment is changing and we need to prepare for increased global warming, pollution, and threats to biodiversity that will present new business opportunities. At the same time, the Clean Tech market will offer business a large financial opportunity to clean up the planet.
- The Future of the Individual 未来的个人- The near future will provide opportunities for personal wealth creation that will underlie all other trends. Individual invention and innovation will accelerate business success. We will also see a struggle to balance individual freedom, privacy and security.
- The Future of America and China 中国和美国的未来- How the destiny of these two great nations - from capitalism to democracy, to innovation and security - will shape the future.
2020的互联网
2040年的世界
